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IEA:12月全球石油供应大幅下降

  据欧洲石油1月17日消息称,国际能源署(iea)在1月16日的石油市场报告(omr)中表示,去年12月,全球石油日供应量减少78万桶,原因是生物燃料产量出现季节性下降以及沙特阿拉伯减产。

全球石油供应总量为每天1.007亿桶,比较上年同期减少130万桶,其中石油输出国组织(opec)的供应量减少了240万桶。随着非欧佩克国家的石油供应增长从2019年的每日200万桶加速至今年的每日210万桶,欧佩克对2020年上半年原油产量的预测将从去年12月的每日2944万桶降至2850万桶。iea表示,欧佩克更大幅度的减产将于本月生效。

iea表示:“10月,全球石油日需求量同比增长95.5万桶,至1.011亿桶。2019年第四季度,全球石油日需求量预计将增长190万桶,而2018年第四季度的水平较低。我们看到非经济合作与发展组织(oecd)国家的需求持续强劲,中国和印度11月份的需求分别增长了每日80万桶和50万桶。美国对2019年的需求持平。2019年美国需求将持平。我们对2019年和2020年的全球需求增长预测保持不变,分别为每天100万桶和120万桶。”

iea表示:“在2019年第四季度和2019年,全球炼油厂的运营总量预计将同比减少20万桶/天。由于原油价格上涨,炼油利润率在12月继续下滑,而例外情况主要是由于酸性原油价差扩大。预计2020年全球炼油量将增加110万桶/天,受精炼产品需求复苏的支持,预计将增加80万桶/天。”

11月,经合组织工业库存下降290万桶,至每日29.12亿桶。12月份的初步数据显示,美国和欧洲的库存正在增加,而日本的库存在下降。去年12月,短期浮动原油库存增加了450万桶,至每日6650万桶。

曹海斌 摘译自 欧洲石油

原文如下:

iea: global oil supply tumblesdecember

global oil supply tumbled 780,000 barrels per daydecember as biofuels production declined seasonally saudi arabia reduced output, the international energy agency (iea) saidthe agency’s oil market report (omr) on 16 january.

at 100.7 million barrels per day, the global total was down 1.3 million barrels per day on a year ago, with the organization of petroleum exporting countries (opec) supply 2.4 million barrels per day lower. with non-opec oil supply growth accelerating from 2 million barrels per day2019 to 2.1 million barrels per day this year, the call on opec crude falls to 28.5 million barrels per day during the first half of 2020 compared with december production of 29.44 million barrels per day. steeper opec+ cuts take effect this month, the iea said.

“global oil demand rose by 955,000 barrels per day year-on-year to 101.1 million barrels per dayoctober for the fourth quarter of 2019 it is estimated to have grown by 1.9 million barrels per day versus a low fourth quarter of 2018 level. “we see continued strong momentumnon-organisation for economic co-operation development (oecd) countries with china india demand growing 0.8 million barrels per day 0.5 million barrels per day respectivelynovember. us demand is flat2019. our global demand growth forecasts for 2019 2020 remain unchanged, at 1 million barrels per day 1.2 million barrels per day,” the iea said.

for the fourth quarter of 2019 2019 as a whole global refinery runs are estimated to have declined by 0.2 million barrels per day year-on-year. refining margins continued fallingdecember due to higher crude prices, exceptions were largely due to widening sour crude differentials. global refining intake2020 is forecast to increasy by 1.1 million barrels per day, supported by a recoveryrefined product demand, estimated to grow by 0.8 million barrels per day,” the iea said

oecd industry stocks fell 2.9 million barrels per daynovember to 2 912 million barrels per day. preliminary data for december showed inventories buildingthe us europe fallingjapan. short-term floating storage of crude oil built 4.5 million barrelsdecember to 66.5 million barrels per day.

(来源:中国石化新闻网)
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